티스토리 뷰
Donald Trump should not abandon Afghanistan
Eight years ago Ashraf Ghani and Clare Lockhart wrote a book called "Fixing Failed States". Now Mr Ghani is in a position to follow his own advice. He is the president of Afghanistan, a state that failed in the 1990s and could fail again.
State failure causes untold misery 1. Broadly defined, it is the main reason poor countries are poor. Its chief cause 2 is not geography, climate or culture, but politics. Some countries build benign, efficient institutions that foster economic growth 3; others build predatory ones that retard 4 it. South Sudan is an extreme example of predation 5. Its politics consist of warlords fighting over 6 7 oil money. The warlords also stir up tribal 8 animosity 9as a tool to 10 recruit more militiamen 11. The state makes Big Men rich while ordinary folk subsist on food aid 12.
Ashes to assets
Afghanistan must overcome several hurdles to 13 avoid the same fate. Since Barack Obama pulled out 14 most of the NATO troops supporting the government, the Taliban, an Islamist militia, has recaptured parts of the country. In the past year it has been fought to a stalemate 15 16. But were Donald Trump to withdraw 17the remaining 18 American forces, the jihadists would probably take over 19 again. The last time they were in power 20 they banned female education, crushed gay people with bulldozers and hosted Osama bin Laden, so the stakes are high 21.
As a first step, Mr Trump should maintain at least the current level of air support 22, training and funding for the Afghan army. He should also ramp pressure on 23Pakistan to stop letting the Taliban use its territory as a rear base 24. (Pakistan insists it is doing all it can; no one believes it.)
Foreign military support can buy time for a fragile state to build the right kind of institutions. This worked in Sierra Leone and Liberia, two war-scorched 25 African nations where UN peacekeepers 26 gave new governments breathing-space 27 to start afresh 28. It worked in Colombia, too, where American support helped the government drive back the drug-dealing leftist insurgents 29 of 30 the FARC and force them to the negotiating table, producing a historic peace deal 31 in 2016. However - and this is the lesson of Iraq - good government cannot be imposed from outside 32. National leaders have to want it and work for it, overcoming stiff resistance from 33 the militia 34 bosses and budget-burgling 35 ministers who benefit from its absence.
Mr Ghani has the right priorities. First, establish a degree of physical security 36. Next, try to entrench the rule of law 37. Both are hard in a nation where suicide-bombers kill judges and warlords grow rich from the poppy 38 trade 39. Yet he has made progress. The Afghan army is becoming more capable 40. Tax collection 41 has improved, despite the economic shock of the American troop drawdown 42. Corruption, though still vast, is being curbed in 43 some areas.
This is not a side issue 44. If ordinary Afghans see the state as predatory 45, they will not defend it against the Taliban. Right now the jury is out: most Afghans are terrified of 46 the Taliban, but trust in the government is low, too. Mr Ghani needs time to implement his reforms 47; donors must be patient.
After a civil war ends somewhere, Western donors often pour in more money 48 than the damaged state can absorb, and pull back 49 when results disappoint. NGOs parachute in 50, poach 51 the best staff with higher wages and form a costly parallel state 52 that will one day pack up 53 and go. This undermines national institutions. It would be better if donors scaled up 54 their largesse 55 gradually, channeled it through 56 national coffers 57 where possible and stuck around for the long run 58 59.
None of this will succeed if a country's leaders do not want it to. In South Sudan neither of the two main warlords 60is 61 interested in nation-building 62, so donors have no one to work with. But in Kabul they do. They should not cut and run.
- untold ; [형용사] (명사 앞에만 씀) 말로 다 할 수 없는, 실로 엄청난[막대한] [본문으로]
- main reason 의 반복을 피하기 위해 사용한 표현으로 보임 [본문으로]
- foster economic growth ; 경제성장을 촉진하다 정도의 뉘앙스 [본문으로]
- retard ; (격식) (발전・진전을) 지연[지체]시키다 [본문으로]
- predation ; [명사] (전문 용어) (동물의) 포식 [본문으로]
- warlord ; (못마땅함) (반군 등 비정규군의) 군 지도자 [본문으로]
- fight over ; …에 관하여 싸우다 [본문으로]
- stir up ; (강한 감정을) 불러일으키다 [본문으로]
- tribal ; [주로 명사 앞에 씀] 부족의, 종족의 [본문으로]
- animosity ; pl. -ies ~ (toward(s) sb/sth) | ~ (between A and B) 반감, 적대감 [본문으로]
- militiaman ; pl. -men / -mən / 민병대[의용군]의 일원 [본문으로]
- subsist ; ~ (on sth) 근근이 살아가다[먹고 살다] [본문으로]
- hurdle ; 3. 장애, 난관 [본문으로]
- pull out ; ~을 (~에서) 떼어 내다[철수시키다] [본문으로]
- fight to ; ~가 될때까지 싸우다 [본문으로]
- stalemate ; 2. [U , sing.] (체스에서) 수가 막힘(그래서 승자 없이 게임이 끝나게 되는 상태) [본문으로]
- withdraw ; 앞의 pull out 과 같이 가는 표현 [본문으로]
- remaining ; 남아있는, 잔여의 [본문으로]
- take over ; 점거하다, 차지하다, 인수하다, 인계받다 [본문으로]
- in power ; 권력의 자리에 있는, 정권을 쥐고 있는. [본문으로]
- stakes are high ; 리스크가 크다, 위험성이 높다 [본문으로]
- air support ; (지상군・해상군에 대한) 공중 지원 [본문으로]
- ramp pressure on ; ~에 대해 압력을 가하다 ;; ramp up ; ~을 늘리다[증가시키다] [본문으로]
- rear base ; 후방 기지 [본문으로]
- war-scorched ; 흐름상 전쟁의 피해를 입은, 정도의 의미 // scorch ; 1. (불에) 그슬리다[눋게 하다] [본문으로]
- peacekeeper ; 1. 평화 유지군(의 한 사람) [본문으로]
- breathing-space ; 숨 돌릴 틈[시간] [본문으로]
- start afresh ; 다시 시작하다 [본문으로]
- drive back ; 1. …을 물리치다; [차]를 후진시키다 [본문으로]
- insurgent ; 주로 복수로) (격식) 반란[내란]을 일으킨 사람 [본문으로]
- historic ; 역사적으로 중요한, 역사에 남을 만한, 역사적인 [본문으로]
- be imposed from outside ; 외부에 의해 강압되다 [본문으로]
- stiff resistance ; 완강한[심한] 저항 [본문으로]
- militia ; 민병대, 의용군 [본문으로]
- budget-burgling ; 예산을 훔쳐가는, 등쳐먹는 [본문으로]
- physical security ; 물리적 보안 [본문으로]
- entrench ; [타동사][VN] [주로 수동태로] (때로 못마땅함) (변경이 어렵도록) 단단히 자리 잡게 하다 [본문으로]
- grow rich ; 부를 이루다[쌓다] [본문으로]
- poppy ; pl. -ies 양귀비 [본문으로]
- become capable ; 유능하게 되다, 능력을 갖추다 [본문으로]
- tax collection ; 세금 징수 [본문으로]
- drawdown ; [미] 삭감, 축소; 수위의 저하; 론(loan)의 차용 총액; (대용량의 전력 소비 기구(器具)의 접속에 의한) 일시적 전압 강하 [본문으로]
- be curbed ; 제약, 제한을 받다. [본문으로]
- side issue ; 부차적인[지엽적인] 문제 [본문으로]
- predatory ; 2. (사람이) 포식 동물 같은, 약한 사람들을 이용해 먹는 [본문으로]
- be terrified of ; ~를 두려워, 무서워하다 [본문으로]
- implement reform ; 개혁, 개편을 실시하다 [본문으로]
- pour in money ; 돈을 쏟아 붓다. [본문으로]
- pull back ; 후퇴하다[물러나다] [본문으로]
- parachute in ; to put somebody from outside an organization into a senior position in the organization ; 낙하산으로 입사하다 [본문으로]
- poach ; 훔치다, 빼앗다, 침범하다 [본문으로]
- parallel state ; 평행한, 유사한 상태 [본문으로]
- pack up ; (떠나기 위해) (짐을) 싸다[챙기다] ; 작동을 멈추다[서다] [본문으로]
- scale up ; (크기·규모를) 확대하다[늘리다] [본문으로]
- largesse ; [U] (격식 또는 유머) (돈에 대해) 후함; 후한 행위; 부조금[기부금] [본문으로]
- be channeled through ; ~을 통해 지급, 제공, 옳겨지다 [본문으로]
- coffer ; 2. [pl.] (cof・fers) (정부・단체 등의) 재원[금고] [본문으로]
- stick around ; (어떤 곳에(서)) 가지 않고 있다[머무르다] [본문으로]
- long run ; 장기간 [본문으로]
- neither of ; …의 어느 쪽도 아니다. [본문으로]
- neither of ~ 를 단수로 받음 확인 [본문으로]
- nation-building ; 국가건설 [본문으로]
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