티스토리 뷰
A dynamic Emmanuel Macron and a diminished 1 Angela Merkel point to a new order in Europe
Who leads Europe? At the start of this year, the answer was obvious. Angela Merkel was trundling unstoppably towards 2 3 a fourth election win, while Britain was out, Italy down and stagnating 4 France gripped by the fear that 5 Marine Le Pen might become the Gallic 6 Donald Trump.
This week, it all looks very different. Mrs Merkel won her election on September 24th, but with such a reduced tally of 7votes and seats that she is a diminished figure. Germany faces months of tricky three-way coalition talks 8 9. Some 6m voters backed a xenophobic right-wing party 10, many of them in protest at Mrs Merkel's refugee policies. Having had no seats, Alternative for Germany, a disruptive and polarizing force 11 12, is now the Bundestag's third largest party.
Yet west of the Rhine, with a parliament dominated by his own new-minted 13and devoted party, France's President Emmanuel Macron is bursting with ambition 14. This week he used a speech about the European Union to stake his claim to the limelight 15 16. Whether Mr Macron can restore France to center-stage in 17 the EU after a decade in the chorus depends not just on 18 his plans for Europe, but also on his success at home, reforming a country long seen as unreformable 19. 20
Start with Europe. This week's speech was brimming over with ideas 22, including a shared military budget 23 and an agency for "radical innovation", as well as the desire to strengthen the euro zone. At one level, Mr Macron's bid for the role of 24 intellectual innovator in Europe fits a long French tradition 25. Moreover 26, elements of his speech 27 - a new carbon-tax on the EU's frontiers, a proposal to 28 tax foreign tech firms where they make money rather than where they are registered, a crusade against "social dumping" 29 with harmonized corporate tax rates 30 31 - were in keeping with long-standing 32 French attempts to stop member states competing "disloyally" 33 against each other 34.
Yet Mr Macron has a more subtle and radical goal than old-style 35 dirigisme 36; as if to prove it, he agreed this week that Alstom, which makes high-speed trains, could drift from state influence by merging with its private-sector 37 38German rival. His aim is to see off populism by striking a balance between 39 providing job security 40 for citizens 41, on the one hand, and encouraging them to embrace innovation 42, which many fear will cost them their jobs 43 44, on the other. In his speech Mr Macron also made the case for digital disruption 45and the completion of 46the digital single market. Euro-zone reform would make Europe less vulnerable to the next financial crisis.
The merit of 47 these ideas depends on whether they lead to a more enterprising 48 49, open and confident Europe or to a protectionist fortress. But they may not be tried out at all unless Mr Macron can make a success of his policies at home. For, if France remains a threat to 50the EU's economic stability 51 rather than a source of its strength, its president can never be more than a bit player next to Germany's chancellor.
Mr Macron's domestic policy 52might seem to have made a poor start 53. He has grabbed headlines thanks to the size of his make-up bill 54, the collapse of his popularity and the whiff of arrogance about 55 56 his "Jupiterian" approach to power 57. Predictably 58, the grouchy 59French are already contesting the legitimacy of 60 61 the plans they elected Mr Macron to carry out. Reform in France, it seems, follows a pattern. The street objects 62; the government backs down 63; immobilisme 64 sets in. 65
Yet take a closer look, and Mr Macron may be about to break the pattern. Something extraordinary, if little-noticed, took place this summer. While most of the French were on the beach, Mr Macron negotiated and agreed with unions a far-reaching 66, liberalizing labor reform 67which he signed into law on 68 September 22nd - all with minimal fuss 69. Neither France's militant unions 70, nor its fiery far left 71 72, have so far drawn the mass support 73 74 they had hoped for onto the streets. Fully 59% of the French say that they back labor reform. More protests will follow. Harder battles, over pensions 75, taxation, public spending 76 and education, lie ahead 77. Mr Macron needs to keep his nerve 78, but, astonishingly 79, he has already passed his first big test.
In many ways, the 39-year-old Mr Macron is not yet well understood. Behind the haughty exterior 80 81, a leader is emerging who 82 seems to be at once brave, disciplined and thoughtful 83 84. Brave, because labor reforms, as Germany and Spain know, take time to translate into 85 job creation, and usually hand political rewards to the successors of those who do the thankless work of getting them through 86. Disciplined, because he laid out clearly before 87 his election what he planned to do, and has stuck to his word. The unions were fully consulted 88, and two of the three biggest accepted the reform. Compare that with his predecessor, François Hollande, who tried reform by stealth 89 and encountered only accusations of bad faith 90 91. Last, thoughtful: Mr Macron does not approach policy as an à la carte menu 92. He has grasped how 93 digital technology is dislocating the world of work 94. His governing philosophy is to adapt France's outdated system of rules 95 and protections accordingly 96.
Over the past few years, an enfeebled 98 France has been a chronically weak partner for 99Germany, pushing Mrs Merkel into a solo role that she neither sought nor relished 100 101. If he is to change that dynamic 102, Mr Macron needs to move swiftly to match his labor law with an overhaul of 103 France's inefficient training budget, increase the number of apprenticeships and renovate the state's sleepy employment services. He also needs to explain with a less contemptuous 104 tone why 105 his plans for tax cuts 106, including to France's wealth tax 107 and corporate tax 108, are not designed simply to benefit business and the better-off 109. In Europe he needs to reassure 110 the northern, more open economies 111 that he is not trying to put up walls 112.
Of course, Mr Macron's first steps in the spotlight may falter 113 114. The odds on 115 any leader reforming France are never high. He will struggle to convince Germany to embrace his vision of euro-zone reform. But, if this year has shown anything, it is that it is a mistake to bet against the formidable 116 Mr Macron 117.
- diminished ; [형용사] 감소[감손]된; 권위[위신]가 떨어진; [음악] 반음 줄인 [본문으로]
- unstoppably ; [부사] 막을 수 없게, 제지할 수 없게. [본문으로]
- trundle ; trundle ; [+adv. / prep.] 1. (천천히 시끄러운 소리를 내며) 굴러가다[굴리다/(굴려서) 나르다] [본문으로]
- stagnate ; [v] 1. 침체되다, 부진해지다 [본문으로]
- grip ; 3. HAVE POWERFUL EFFECT | [타동사][VN] (감정・상황이) 사로잡다 [본문으로]
- Gallic ; [형용사] (전형적으로) 프랑스적인, 프랑스 사람 특유의 ;; 미국·영국 [|gӕlɪk] [본문으로]
- tally ; [명사] pl. -ies (특히 총계・총액을 계속 누적해 나가는) 기록 [본문으로]
- tricky ; (trick・ier , tricki・est) 1. (하기・다루기) 힘든[까다로운], 곤란한 [본문으로]
- coalition ; 2. [C+sing./pl. v.] (특히 정치적인) 연합체 [본문으로]
- xenophobic ; [형용사] 외국(인) 공포[혐오]증의 [을 가진]. [본문으로]
- disruptive ; [형용사] 지장을 주는 [본문으로]
- polarize ; 1. 양극화되다; 양극화를 초래하다 [본문으로]
- minted ; 1. freshly/newly ~ 최근에 생겨난[생산된/발명된 등] [본문으로]
- burst with ; …으로 터질 듯하다 [본문으로]
- stake (out) a/one's claim to sb/sth ; say that you have a special interest in somebody/something, or have a right to own something, especially to warn other people not to take it [본문으로]
- limelight ; [U] the limelight 각광, 세상의 이목[관심] [본문으로]
- center stage ; [U] (사람들의 관심을 끄는) 주된 위치, 핵심 [본문으로]
- in chorus ; 입을 모아[모두 함께] [본문으로]
- (be) long seen as ; 오랫동안 ~라고 여겨지다 [본문으로]
- unreformable ; [형용사] 개혁[개정]할 수 없는, 교정할 수 없는. [본문으로]
- leading man ; 주요 인물, 중추인물, 주인공, 주역 [본문으로]
- brim over with ; 넘쳐흐르다, …으로 차 넘치다 [본문으로]
- military budget ; 군 예산 [본문으로]
- a bid for ; …을 위한 노력, 시도 [본문으로]
- fit ; 6. AGREE/MATCH | [진행형으로는 쓰이지 않음] 적절하다[들어맞다]; 적절하게[들어맞게] 하다 [본문으로]
- moreover ; [부사] (격식) 게다가, 더욱이 [본문으로]
- element ; 1. PART/AMOUNT | [C] ~ (in/of sth) 요소, 성분 [본문으로]
- proposal ; 1. [C , U] ~ (for sth) | ~ (to do sth) | ~ (that…) 제안, 제의 [본문으로]
- crusade against ; …에 반대하는 운동을 하다. [본문으로]
- social dumping ; 소셜 덤핑 ((개발 도상국이 저임금·저원가로 생산하여 해외에 덤핑하기)) [본문으로]
- corporate tax rate ; 법인세율 [본문으로]
- keep with ; 1. …을 따라가다; …와 교제하다 [본문으로]
- long-standing ; [형용사] (주로 명사 앞에 씀) 오래된 [본문으로]
- disloyally ; [부사] 불충실하게. [본문으로]
- old-style ; [형용사] (명사 앞에만 씀) 옛날식의, 구식의 [본문으로]
- dirigisme ; [명사] (격식) (국가의) 통제 정책 ;; 미국·영국 [|dɪrɪƷɪzəm] [본문으로]
- drift ; 2. MOVE SLOWLY | [자동사][V + adv. / prep.] (서서히) 이동하다[움직이다] [본문으로]
- private-sector ; [형용사] 민간 부문의 [본문으로]
- see off ; to be strong enough to resist something [본문으로]
- strike a balance between ; ~사이에서 균형을 도모하다, 유지하다, 맞추다, 절충하다, [본문으로]
- job security ; 고용 보장[확보] [본문으로]
- embrace ; 2. [타동사][VN] (격식) (생각・제의 등을 열렬히) 받아들이다[수용하다] [본문으로]
- fear ; 1. (…을) 두려워[무서워]하다 [본문으로]
- cost ; 2. (…을) 희생시키다[잃게 하다] [본문으로]
- disruption ; 1. 붕괴; 분열; 중단, 두절; 혼란 2. 분열[붕괴]된 상태 [본문으로]
- completion ; 1. [U] 완료, 완성 [본문으로]
- merit ; 1. [U] (격식) 가치; 훌륭함 [본문으로]
- depend on ; (진행형으로는 쓰이지 않음) ~에 달려 있다[~에 의해 결정되다] [본문으로]
- enterprising ; [형용사] (호감) 진취력[기획력]이 있는 [본문으로]
- remain a threat to ; ~에게 위협이 되다 [본문으로]
- economic stability ; 경제적 안정. [본문으로]
- domestic policy ; 국내정책 [본문으로]
- make a start (on) ; (…에) 착수하다, (…을) 시작하다 [본문으로]
- grab headlines ; (언론, 신문에) 대서특필되다. [본문으로]
- whiff ; 2. ~ (of sth) (약간의) 조짐[느낌] [본문으로]
- arrogance about ; ~에대한 거만함 [본문으로]
- Jupiterian ; a person that has a well-developed Mount of Jupiter and a long and large finger of Jupiter and that is usually held by palmists to be characterized by ambition, leadership, and a religious nature [본문으로]
- predictably ; [부사] 예상대로 [본문으로]
- grouchy ; [형용사] (비격식) 불평이 많은, 잘 투덜거리는 [본문으로]
- contest ; 2. (결정이나 진술에) 이의를 제기하다 [본문으로]
- legitimacy ; 1. 합법성, 적법; 합리[타당]성 2. 적출(嫡出); 정통, 정계(正系) [본문으로]
- object ; 1. [자동사][V] ~ (to sb/sth) | ~ (to doing sth/to sb doing sth) 반대하다 [본문으로]
- back down ; [동사] 퇴각하다, 후퇴하다, 양보하다, 철회하다, 포기하다(from). (주장 등을) 굽히다; 패배를 인정하다 ;; 동의어 withdraw, give in. [본문으로]
- immobilism ; [명사] (정치·기업 활동의) 현상 유지 정책, 극단적 보수주의 ;; 불어로 immobilisme [본문으로]
- set in ; [VERB] to become established ;; 시작하다[되다] [본문으로]
- far-reaching ; [형용사] 지대한 영향을 가져올 [본문으로]
- labor reform ; 노동 개혁 [본문으로]
- sign into law on ; (US) To sign (legislation) as a mark of official approval. [본문으로]
- fuss ; 1. [U , sing.] 호들갑, 법석, 야단 [본문으로]
- militant ; [형용사] 공격적인, 전투적인 [본문으로]
- fiery ; 2. (성질이) 불같은 [본문으로]
- far left ; [명사] (the ~, 종종 the F- L-) 극좌(極左). [본문으로]
- draw ; 8. GET REACTION | [타동사][VN] ~ sth (from sb) (반응을) 끌어내다 [본문으로]
- mass support ; 대중(大衆)의 지지(支持). [본문으로]
- pension ; [명사] 연금; 생활 보조금, 수당 [본문으로]
- public spending ; [명사] 동의어 ;; public expenditure ; 공공지출 [본문으로]
- lie ahead ; (위험 따위가) 기다리고 있다, 앞에 놓여 있다[of] ;; lie in store [본문으로]
- keep one's nerve ; 용기를 잃지 않다, 평정심, 침착함을 유지하다 [본문으로]
- astonishingly ; 1. [문 전체를 수식하여] 놀랍게도 [본문으로]
- haughty ; [형용사] 거만한, 오만한 [본문으로]
- exterior ; 2. [sing.] (사람의) 겉(모습) [본문으로]
- emerge 를 타동사로 활용한게 아니라 자동사로 활용하면서 a leader와 who 이하가 동일한 대상을 가리키는 predicative complement 형태를 취하고 있음을 확인 ;; a leader = who seems to be at once brave ... [본문으로]
- disciplined ; [형용사] 훈련받은, 잘 통솔된 [본문으로]
- thoughtful ; 3. 사려 깊은 [본문으로]
- translate into ; 번역과는 상관 없이 "~으로 변화를 일으키다, 만들어 내다" 정도의 의미로 사용하는 것을 확인 [본문으로]
- thankless ; [형용사] 힘들기만 하고 보상은 못 받는, 생색 안 나는 [본문으로]
- lay out ; 3. (계획·주장 등을 잘 정리하여) 제시하다 [본문으로]
- consult ; 2. ~ (with) sb (about/on sth) 상의하다 [본문으로]
- by stealth ; 남몰래, 슬쩍 ;; 미국∙영국 [stelθ] [본문으로]
- accusation ; [C , U] ~ (of sth) (against sb) | ~ (that…) 혐의 (제기), 비난; 고발, 기소 [본문으로]
- bad faith ; 불성실, 부정직, 배신(opp. good faith) [본문으로]
- a la carte ; [형용사, 부사] (불어에서) (각각 가격이 따로 붙어 있는 요리를) 따로따로 시키는[시켜서] ;; (호텔) 고객의 특별한 주문에 의하여 조리사의 특별한 기술로 만들어 품목별로 가격이 정해져 있는 요리로 일품요리 혹은 선택요리를 말한다. [본문으로]
- grasp ; 2. 완전히 이해하다, 파악하다 ;; 미국식 [grӕsp] 영국식 [grɑ:sp] [본문으로]
- dislocate ; 2. (시스템・계획 등을) 혼란에 빠뜨리다 [본문으로]
- adapt ; 1. [타동사][VN] ~ sth (for sth) (새로운 용도・상황에) 맞추다[조정하다] ;; 미국식 [ə|dɑ:pt] 영국식 [ə|dɒpt] [본문으로]
- accordingly ; 1. (상황에) 부응해서, 그에 맞춰 [본문으로]
- drumroll ; [명사] 드럼[티파니]의 연타 [본문으로]
- enfeeble ;[타동사][VN] (격식) 약화시키다, 쇠약하게 만들다 [본문으로]
- chronically ; [부사] 만성적으로, 질질 시간을 끌어 [본문으로]
- push ... into ; …에 부딪치게 하다[부딪다], 몰아붙이다 [본문으로]
- relish ; [동사] (어떤 것을 대단히) 즐기다[좋아하다] [본문으로]
- dynamic ; 1. [pl.] dynamics (서로 관계되는 세력・영향력 사이의) 역학 ;; 사전의 설명과는 다르게 단수로 활용한 것을 확인 [본문으로]
- swiftly ; [부사] 신속히, 빨리, 즉시, 즉석에서 [본문으로]
- match ... with ... ; (경기·시합에서) ~을 ~와 대항하게[겨루게] 하다 [본문으로]
- contemptuous ; [형용사] ~ (of sb/sth) 경멸하는, 업신여기는 [본문으로]
- tax cut ; 감세(減稅) [본문으로]
- wealth tax ; [명사] 부유세 [본문으로]
- corporate tax = corporation tax ; [명사] 법인세 [본문으로]
- better-off ; [형용사] (경제적으로) 부유한 [본문으로]
- reassure ; [동사] ~ sb (about sth) 안심시키다 [본문으로]
- open economy ; 개방 경제 [본문으로]
- put up ; [VERB] to build; erect [본문으로]
- in the spotlight ; 각광을 받아; 세상의 이목을 끌어 ;; getting attention from newspapers, television and the public [본문으로]
- falter ; 1. [자동사][V] 불안정해지다, 흔들리다 [본문으로]
- odds ; [pl.], (참고: stacked) 1. 보통 the odds (어떤 일이 있을) 공산[가능성] [본문으로]
- bet against ; …에 반대로 내기하다, …하지 않을 것이라고 내기하다 [본문으로]
- formidable ; [형용사] 가공할, 어마어마한 [본문으로]